macro · settles Oct 29, 2026
Q3 2026 advance GDP print is negative
AI Baseline15.0%refreshed last week
Each row is an event this one affects.
Fed funds upper bound at or below 3.50% after the December FOMC
settles Dec 9, 2026
Current 5.0%·AI if yes 16.6% ▲ +11.6 pts·You Click to add
Fed funds upper bound above 3.75% after the December FOMC
settles Dec 9, 2026
Current 93.0%·AI if yes 82.4% ▼ −10.6 pts·You Click to add
| Affected event | If this event resolves YES | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Affected event | Current | AI | Yours |
| Fed funds upper bound at or below 3.50% after the December FOMC settles Dec 9, 2026 | 5.0% | 16.6% ▲ +11.6 pts | Click to add |
| Fed funds upper bound above 3.75% after the December FOMC settles Dec 9, 2026 | 93.0% | 82.4% ▼ −10.6 pts | Click to add |
Your Projection shows only the dependencies you've estimated—never inferred, never auto-filled. Click an affected event's name to open it.