macro · settles Sep 4, 2026
Payrolls below +100k in August (September 4 release)
AI Baseline28.0%refreshed yesterday
Each row is an event this one affects.
Fed funds upper bound at or below 3.50% after the September FOMC
settles Sep 16, 2026
Current 13.0%·AI if yes 26.0% ▲ +13.0 pts·You Click to add
| Affected event | If this event resolves YES | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Affected event | Current | AI | Yours |
| Fed funds upper bound at or below 3.50% after the September FOMC settles Sep 16, 2026 | 13.0% | 26.0% ▲ +13.0 pts | Click to add |
Your Projection shows only the dependencies you've estimated—never inferred, never auto-filled. Click an affected event's name to open it.