macro · settles Oct 2, 2026
Payrolls below +100k in September (October 2 release)
AI Baseline32.0%refreshed yesterday
Each row is an event this one affects.
Fed funds upper bound at or below 3.50% after the October FOMC
settles Oct 28, 2026
Current 17.0%·AI if yes 29.5% ▲ +12.5 pts·You Click to add
| Affected event | If this event resolves YES | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Affected event | Current | AI | Yours |
| Fed funds upper bound at or below 3.50% after the October FOMC settles Oct 28, 2026 | 17.0% | 29.5% ▲ +12.5 pts | Click to add |
Your Projection shows only the dependencies you've estimated—never inferred, never auto-filled. Click an affected event's name to open it.