macro · settles Dec 1, 2026
US-Iran nuclear deal agreed before December 1
AI Baseline6.0%refreshed 12 hours ago
Each row is an event this one affects.
Brent crude closes at $100 or higher on December 4
settles Dec 4, 2026
Current 20.0%·AI if yes 10.6% ▼ −9.4 pts·You Click to add
| Affected event | If this event resolves YES | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Affected event | Current | AI | Yours |
| Brent crude closes at $100 or higher on December 4 settles Dec 4, 2026 | 20.0% | 10.6% ▼ −9.4 pts | Click to add |
Your Projection shows only the dependencies you've estimated—never inferred, never auto-filled. Click an affected event's name to open it.