macro · settles Oct 1, 2026

Federal government shutdown begins October 1

AI Baseline40.0%refreshed 6 hours ago

Each row is an event this one affects.

Fed funds upper bound at or below 3.50% after the October FOMC
settles Oct 28, 2026
Current 14.0%·AI if yes 10.8% −3.2 pts·You Click to add

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