macro · settles Oct 1, 2026
Federal government shutdown begins October 1
AI Baseline40.0%refreshed yesterday
Each row is an event this one affects.
Fed funds upper bound at or below 3.50% after the October FOMC
settles Oct 28, 2026
Current 17.0%·AI if yes 13.2% ▼ −3.8 pts·You Click to add
| Affected event | If this event resolves YES | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Affected event | Current | AI | Yours |
| Fed funds upper bound at or below 3.50% after the October FOMC settles Oct 28, 2026 | 17.0% | 13.2% ▼ −3.8 pts | Click to add |
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