macro · settles Oct 14, 2026

Core CPI rises 0.3% or more in September (October 14 release)

AI Baseline36.0%refreshed last week

Each row is an event this one affects.

Fed funds upper bound at or below 3.50% after the October FOMC
settles Oct 28, 2026
Current 1.0%·AI if yes 0.6% −0.4 pts·You Click to add
Fed funds upper bound above 3.75% after the October FOMC
settles Oct 28, 2026
Current 88.0%·AI if yes 93.4% +5.4 pts·You Click to add

Your Projection shows only the dependencies you've estimated—never inferred, never auto-filled. Click an affected event's name to open it.

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