macro · settles Oct 14, 2026
Core CPI rises 0.3% or more in September (October 14 release)
AI Baseline36.0%refreshed 2 hours ago
Each row is an event this one affects.
Fed funds upper bound at or below 3.50% after the October FOMC
settles Oct 28, 2026
Current 1.0%·AI if yes 0.6% ▼ −0.4 pts·You Click to add
Fed funds upper bound above 3.75% after the October FOMC
settles Oct 28, 2026
Current 99.0%·AI if yes 99.5% ▲ +0.5 pts·You Click to add
| Affected event | If this event resolves YES | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Affected event | Current | AI | Yours |
| Fed funds upper bound at or below 3.50% after the October FOMC settles Oct 28, 2026 | 1.0% | 0.6% ▼ −0.4 pts | Click to add |
| Fed funds upper bound above 3.75% after the October FOMC settles Oct 28, 2026 | 99.0% | 99.5% ▲ +0.5 pts | Click to add |
Your Projection shows only the dependencies you've estimated—never inferred, never auto-filled. Click an affected event's name to open it.