macro · settles Sep 1, 2026
US-Iran ceasefire holds through September 1
AI Baseline55.0%refreshed yesterday
Nothing is modeled as a catalyst of this event yet. As the graph grows, the dependencies that drive it will appear here.
Your Projection shows only the dependencies you've estimated—never inferred, never auto-filled. Click a catalyst name to open that event. Each AI projection is a separate what-if—the shifts don't add together.