macro · settles Dec 9, 2026

Fed funds upper bound at or below 3.50% after the December FOMC

AI Baseline25.0%refreshed yesterday

Move a catalyst's probability and watch the chain ripple up to the target's projection. Adjustments use your applied estimates where you have them and the AI's edge sensitivities everywhere else. Nothing here is saved—share the URL to keep a scenario.

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Target · Projected

Fed funds upper bound at or below 3.50% after the December FOMC

settles Dec 9, 2026

25.0%

Read the methodology to see how propagation and source attribution work.