Resolved events

Events that have settled. Each shows its realized outcome, not the AI estimate it carried while live. They stay openable for reference but no longer appear in the live graph.

← Back to live events

• Core CPI rises 0.3% or more in May (June 10 release)resolved Jun 10, 2026
  OutcomeNO
• Fed funds upper bound at or below 3.50% after the June FOMCresolved Jun 17, 2026
  OutcomeNO
• Payrolls below +100k in June (July 2 release)resolved Jul 2, 2026
  OutcomeYES
• Core CPI rises 0.3% or more in June (July 14 release)resolved Jul 14, 2026
  OutcomeNO